What Is Realized Price?
Realized Price is one of the most intuitive on-chain metrics: it's the average price at which every Bitcoin last moved on-chain — effectively the aggregate cost basis of the entire market. If the live price is below Realized Price, the average holder is underwater. See where price sits relative to it on our bottom indicators page.
How Is It Calculated?
Realized Price = Realized Cap ÷ circulating supply, where Realized Cap values each coin at the price it last transacted. Instead of pricing all coins at today's price (like market cap), it prices them at their last on-chain movement.
Why It Acts as a Floor
In every major Bitcoin bear market, price has briefly dipped to or below Realized Price near the bottom, then recovered. When the market trades below the network's aggregate cost basis, it signals deep undervaluation and seller exhaustion — historically a strong long-term accumulation zone.
How to Use It
- Price below Realized Price: rare, historically a bottoming signal.
- Price far above Realized Price: large unrealized profits — more risk of a pullback.
- Combine with MVRV Z-Score (which is built on the same realized-value concept) and the Fear & Greed Index.
Limitations
Realized Price is a slow, macro level — useful for cycle context, not short-term trades. See how the current cycle compares on the bear market history page and the live Bear Market Clock.